Modeling Forest Succession at UMBS under Climate Change Scenarios

Project Overview
Research Core Areas: 
Project Abstract: 
Climate is an important factor affecting the range of many plants and animals. As the climate changes, the range of many plants could shift. UMBS is located in the temperate-boreal ecotone, where trees from both boreal forests and temperate forests are present. If ranges shift due to climate change, the first signs could occur here. This project aims to predict changes in tree species composition under two separate warming scenarios, RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. We plan to use the LANDIS-II forest landscape model to model succession in UMBS until 2099. Part of the model will be parameterized using GIS and field data from UMBS. We expect to see a decrease is the number of boreal tree species and increased dominance of temperate tree species.
Investigator Info
Years research project active: 
2018